2015 Outlook on Currencies

2015 saw a bullish market on the USD rates with Janet Yellen being tipped across the range to increase interest rates in Q1. Official minutes however made a clear indication that this is not the case at least until April. The major SP500 started with losses on major downs on the commodity pricing changes with […]

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The Reserve and Central Banks that matter and the ones that don’t

For us traders having an edge is everything. We can get it from history, technical analysis, ability to read between the lines and on opportune occasions from a friend of a friend who works for a government statistics or financial institutions.

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Eurozone – recovery not on track

Mario Draghi may still have his stars in the Euro zone but with the LTRO policy, low interest rates – the desired effect is not triggering relaxed enough lending behaviour in both banking and business sector. GDP rates depicted here show a slow decline in growth. Is Draghi ready for some QE?

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US – German relations under the pump

German remains to be a close ally of Obama on the Russian front but relations have dwindled since 2013 when revelations indicated phone tapping activities on Chancellor Merkel and other European leaders. An outraged Merkel forced the NSA to reduce to a skeleton by the Obama administration and a complete change in the program. 2014 […]

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ZEW lowest in 20 months – Germany – Russia trade on alert

The ZEW index has dropped to 8.6 almost 10 points lower than expectations. This is not a surprise as the increased US sanctions on Russia. Tension is rising and Russia has placed import bans on variety of Australian agricultural products and shown the first signs of push back causing an export loss of AUD$700m to […]

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