Australia Dollar well above expectation

The Australian Dollar is performing well on the news of banks being prepared for stress tests by increases in the cash reserve requirements. Westpac was the first to jump the gun increasing borrowing rates by 20 basis points and deposit rates by 25 basis points. Westpac is forcing the RBA to act as economists realise […]

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Australian Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes 19th May 15 – Aussie short opportunities

The $AUDUSD has been acting irrationally for weeks now. We are seeing and unexpected strength in the AUD even after negative numbers. This was being fuelled by the US economy losing momentum and China turning down interest rate. The RBA has made indication today however that the Australian Dollars Joyride must come to an end. […]

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Australian Dollar must start falling now

The Australian Dollar was able to maintain footing near the .7970 mark throughout the week but there must be an end in sight. The RBA was not able to trigger the desired effect and if anything triggered a search for .80 in the rally that followed the pitch of Glenn Stevens indicating the end of […]

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The Great AUD Con – rates drop

So traders around the world were astonished and some lost the house when the RBA cut rates. As in with the ECB every time the rate was cut the currency started a fast downward wave as the liquidity in the market increases. But apart from a sudden 40 pip drop the AUD rose by to […]

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FOMC 29th April 2015: Is the US heading back towards 2013 woes?

Most recently the US was reporting positive numbers across the range and a large part of the conversation was around interest rate hikes and  a higher interest in the USD Bond market. The FOMC meeting has changed the spectrum of the ongoing conversation with no talk preluding to an interest rate hike or relative timeframe. GDP for […]

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2015 Outlook on Currencies

2015 saw a bullish market on the USD rates with Janet Yellen being tipped across the range to increase interest rates in Q1. Official minutes however made a clear indication that this is not the case at least until April. The major SP500 started with losses on major downs on the commodity pricing changes with […]

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The Reserve and Central Banks that matter and the ones that don’t

For us traders having an edge is everything. We can get it from history, technical analysis, ability to read between the lines and on opportune occasions from a friend of a friend who works for a government statistics or financial institutions.

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US data positive all around – Euro Zone gloomy

Europe consumer confidence has fallen to its lowest levels since April. In the US positive results produced below expected unemployment numbers and jobless claims whilst existing home sales are on the up by beating expectations by .13M. This is fuelling downward pressures on the EURUSD which haven’t let up since Mario Draghi’s negative interest rate […]

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BoE triggers long GBPUSD opportunities

Two members of the BoE voted towards a rate hike indicated confidence in the UK’s progress. This is a good indicator of changing sentiment as other members did not vote for the rate hike solely based protecting growth targets and stress proofing the economy. Whilst the USD has received support due to housing and permit […]

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